FMI:s senaste rapport indikerar att det finns tecken på en avmattning i den spanska ekonomin. Förväntningarna för 2023 ligger kvar på 2,5 procent, men sänks med tre tiondelar till 1,7 procent för 2024.
Den spanska ekonomin har visat en stark utveckling de senaste åren och har överskridit internationella prognoser med en tillväxt på 5,8 procent 2022 och 2,5 procent 2023. Men FMI varnar för att 2024 globalt kommer vara ett år med betydligt mer måttlig tillväxt. Trots detta kommer Spanien att ligga före ledande ekonomier som Tyskland, Frankrike och Italien både detta och nästa år. Det skriver El País.
Det internationella låneorganet pekar på att delar av avmattningen kan bero på turistsektorns långsammare takt och en avkylning i produktionsindustrin. Den växande turismen har varit en viktig katalysator för den spanska ekonomin, särskilt efter coronakrisen. FMI förutspår att denna drivkraft kommer att avta när turistnäringen återgår till för-pandemiska nivåer.
En annan faktor som bidrar till avmattningen är den strikta penningpolitiken, särskilt i Tyskland. Europeiska centralbanken höjde räntan till 4,5 procent från noll procent i september 2022, vilket FMI menar påverkar kreditgivningen och investeringarna negativt. Vidare förväntar sig FMI att arbetsmarknaden kommer att förbli stark i eurozonen och att arbetslösheten kommer att minska ytterligare. För Spanien väntas arbetslösheten sjunka från 11,8 procent till 11,3 procent under 2024, även om denna förblir den högsta inom eurozonen.
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Trots en nedskriving av tillväxtförväntningarna för nästa år väntas Spanien fortsatt växa mest inom EU. Foto: Shutterstock
Dela:
Förväntad avmattning av ekonomin
Publicerad 2023-10-14 07:00EKONOMI Internationella valutafonden IMF beräknar att den spanska ekonomin kommer att bromsa upp och notera en tillväxt på endast 1,7 procent under 2024. Trots det väntas Spanien fortsätta att växa snabbare än eurozonen som helhet.
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