Prognosen motsäger den spanska regeringens förväntningar, som är att sänka arbetslösheten till närmare åtta procent av den arbetsföra befolkningen. Arbetsmarknadsreformen 2021 har inte lyckats påskynda minskningen av arbetslöshet till europeiska nivåer. IMF beräknar att arbetslösheten i år kommer att nå 11,6 procent och därefter sjunka något till 11,3 procent nästa år. Detta är visserligen en betydande förbättring jämfört med de 16 procent som nåddes under den pandemin, men fortfarande dubbelt så högt som genomsnittet inom EU.
Trots arbetsmarknadens utmaningar förutspår IMF att Spanien kommer att fortsätta leda den ekonomiska tillväxten bland Europas största ekonomier både 2024 och 2025, med en tillväxttakt på 1,9 procent 2024. Det senare är fyra tiondelar högre än tidigare prognoser och betydligt mer än jämförbara ekonomier som Tyskland, Italien och Frankrike.
IMF spår vidare att Spanien kommer att avsluta året med en inflation på 2,7 procent, vilket är högre än EU-snittet, delvis på grund av de stigande kostnaderna för livsmedel och bränsle.
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IMF beräknar att arbetslösheten i år kommer att nå 11,6 procent och därefter sjunka något till 11,3 procent nästa år. Foto: Shutterstock
Dela:
Svårt pressa arbetslösheten under elva procent
Publicerad 2024-04-24 07:00EKONOMI Internationella Valutafonden IMF:s pekar i sin senaste prognoser på att arbetslösheten i Spanien inte kommer att falla under elva procent före 2030. Detta trots att landet fortsatt väntas leda den ekonomiska tillväxten i Europa.
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